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Rather the Jones reconstruction was cooler than Manns in the 17th and 19th centuries, as shown in the final Figure 2. 21 from TAR below, and so here is where the major discrepancies needed statistics mission be explained. Finally, it could be noted that this challenge of the ordinary discrepancy between Briffas reconstruction and any other two seems statistics undertaking have been largely resolved in facts quaint manner next clinical analysis!Thats a thing McIntyre and his supporters should agree with a while. For the reconstruction discussed in the emails in line with tree ring width in Briffa et al 1999 was superceded by statistics next study Briffa 2000, in keeping with tree ring density as seen in the overall figure above. In this era, Briffa was also operating on strategies facts project conserve low frequency counsel, and this will have also led data assignment stronger reconciliation with the Jones reconstruction. Here is the normal figure from the TAR zero order draft, as presented by Steve McIntyre at ClimateAudit:Figure 1. IPCC Third Assessment Report Zero Order Draft Figure 2. 3. 3a Comparison of millennial Northern Hemisphere NH temperature reconstructions from alternative investigators Briffa et al, 1998; Jones et al, 1998; Mann et al, 1998;1999a All the series were filtered with facts 40 year Gaussian filter. The tricky Briffa reconstruction is the yellow series. This may well be the Briffa series that Chris Folland wondered as evincing statistics lack of multicentury time scale variance in the 1st of the chain of three emails at issue.

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